Friedman: Galchenyuk Likely to be Traded

Galchenyuk

It doesn’t take much these days to get Habs’ fans going. With the Canadiens’ early exit from the playoffs combined with the Nashville Predators making it to the Stanley Cup finals, some fans are very vocal against the organization they say is their favourite. But that’s nothing new, as many in the fan base don’t remember 1993, the last time Montreal saw a Stanley Cup parade. The emergence of social media only made things look worse.

CBC and Sportsnet insider Elliott Friedman was on Edmonton’s 630 CHED on Thursday afternoon, providing insight to host Bob Stauffer. The topic was on Matt Duchene of course, he who is very likely to be traded this summer, when Stauffer asked Friedman if trading Duchene to Montreal for Alex Galchenyuk made any sense. And here is what he had to say:

“I do think Montreal will try and trade Galchenyuk, I do. I think it’s likely he’s going to go. Not 100 percent, but I would say that more likely than not, they will try to trade him.”

Whether trading Galchenyuk makes sense or not is not the debate here, as those who are still hot under the collar about the Habs’ trading Subban blew a gasket reading Friedman’s quote. But Galchenyuk is a restricted free agent with arbitration rights comes July first and while he failed to keep his number one centre position under Claude Julien, he is only one season removed from a 30-goals season.

Having said that, while traditional media sources are all over the Galchenyuk trade rumours now, in June, I was on record on the Hockey Sans Limites podcast back on April 2nd, claiming that there was a good chance that he would be sacrificed in a big trade. Listen for yourself (in French)…

Don’t be fooled here folks, Habs’ GM Marc Bergevin will not trade Galchenyuk for the sake of trading him. I genuinely believe that he’s not looking at getting rid of him, and certainly not at any cost. But Bergevin always stated that he is always looking at improving his team. So if you’re honest with yourself here, you will read that if Bergevin feels like he can improve the team in a trade by sacrificing Galchenyuk, he will do it… just like he did when he traded Subban.

The 23-year old C/LW looked poised to break the bank after scoring 30 goals in 2015-16, but he took a bit of a step back this past season. Galchenyuk’s numbers came down (17 goals in 61 games) and he also finished the season on the fourth line. The fact that he still hasn’t improved much in his own end and that a second coach move him back to the wing might be enough to tip the balance for Bergevin to pull the trigger on a trade.

“Ideally, we’d love to have him play centre, but I think he realizes the things that we realize. As a centre, it’s one of the toughest jobs there is because you have to be all over the ice, but you have to be good at both ends and you have to responsible. Right now, he’s not at that stage. As we speak, we have to put a guy in a position where he can help himself and the team.” ~ Canadiens’ head coach Claude Julien at the season’s end  press conference.

Potential Suitors

If the 2012 third overall pick and former 30 goals’ scorer Galchenyuk is on the market, rest assured that there will be a lot of interest from everywhere around the NHL, even from the Las Vegas Golden Knights. But while it’s not hard to find teams interested in getting him, how many teams have what the Canadiens want and need in return? That limits the number of teams right there.

The lack of top-end centres in Montreal is a well documented fact, and while the team seems to have some depth on defense, Bergevin was unable to find Shea Weber a capable partner when really, Nathan Beaulieu missed a golden opportunity to show what he can do.

Philadelphia Flyers

Say what? Yes, that is quite surprising but how else can anyone explain that 2017 draft prospect Nolan Patrick said, on June 5th, that he will travel to meet with the Canadiens, Devils and Flyers before he goes home to Winnipeg? He said that he would be examined by each team’s medical staff during the visits, which can be explained by the fact that a sports hernia limited him to 33 games this season, but he was cleared by doctors to participate in all the fitness testing at the combine. The Flyers need defense and help in goal, with Steve Mason scheduled to become a UFA. Could something revolve around Galchenyuk, Beaulieu, Alexei Emelin and/or Charlie Lindgren? Who on the Flyers would be of interest for the Canadiens? So many questions…

Colorado Avalanche

The worst kept secret, Matt Duchene is very likely to be traded this summer. Could Galchenyuk be part of a deal which would see Duchene in Montreal? Who knows, but this wouldn’t be the first time that rumours tie the Habs to Duchene and the Avalanche. Many (myself included) believe that Duchene’s downward production is directly related to the fact that he’s not happy in Colorado. It all started under Patrick Roy and he has been wanting out since then. Teammate and former Habs Mark Barberio was high in praise for the Avalanche’s centre saying that he is a true professional and has a great attitude in spite of the fact that everyone knows he wants out. He has speed to burn, is responsible defensively and he isn’t afraid to get in traffic, something that would fit in well with Julien’s system.

Edmonton Oilers

But wait… why would the Oilers want Galchenyuk when they already have Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins pivoting their top-three lines? Two possible answers to this one: 1- Who is to say that RNH wouldn’t be included in the deal? And 2- Who said that the Oilers would want Galchenyuk as a centre instead of as a winger?

Tampa Bay Lightning

This is my personal favourite. While it appears to be harder to grasp on the English side, most people in the French speaking community of the Canadiens’ fan base understand the need to have some local talent on the team as Montreal is a very unique market. Geoff Molson understands that and so does his GM. Which means that if there is any possibility that he might be available, there is not doubt that Bergevin will be all in on Jonathan Drouin. Some pointed out that the only reason for the Lightning to trade Drouin would be because they can’t afford to keep him cap-wise, which is true, but let’s not underestimate the creativity of two of the league’s top hockey minds. Think bigger deal… Braydon Coburn ($3.7M) and Jason Garrison ($4.7M) could both play alongside Weber, particularly Garrison. Would Yzerman and Bergevin have the guts to consume such a trade within the division? Time will tell.

Conclusion

If Galchenyuk is still with the team comes September, it won’t be a bad thing. But in my opinion, it will mean that Bergevin wasn’t offered what he felt was fair value for his young player, or that the deal(s) on the table wouldn’t have improved the team. The next three or four weeks promise to be very exciting as the expansion draft (June 18-21), the amateur draft (June 23-24) and the free agents’ frenzy (starting July 1st) are all around the corner.

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Another Key Summer for Habs Bergevin

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Those waiting or hoping for Marc Bergevin to be fired better prepare to, once again, be disappointed. The fact is that he is an excellent general manager, one who, unlike mortal fans and media members who are not occupying the position, has the ability to take a step back to truly analyse his team and its needs as opposed to making key decisions emotionally. This is a quality that he shares with the best in the business, regardless of the sport. Geoff Molson and Serge Savard did their homework before hiring him and the team President is nowhere close to giving up on his GM.

To those claiming high and loud that Bergevin doesn’t get it, claiming that the organisation is relying too much on Carey Price instead of addressing the team’s lack of offense are totally mistaken. Those people simply refuse to see the reality as back in July, Bergevin tried to get Milan Lucic and Justin Williams. Because those players chose to sign elsewhere doesn’t speak on Bergevin, but rather to the fact that in their decision making, the targeting players were free agents and could sign where ever they wanted to, all things considered. And while they will try to convince you otherwise. the same media personalities complaining today about Bergevin’s lack of action are a big part of the reason why those players chose other locations to play instead of coming into this hot bed.

Bergevin did land the biggest UFA from last summer’s market in Alexander Radulov and few would argue that it was a bad deal. The irony however is that some of them complain that he will cost the Canadiens a lot of money as a UFA now, but those people where the same comparing Radulov to Alexander Semin when Bergevin signed him. Get the drift and the pattern here?

Bergevin also signed prospect Artturi Lehkonen and in spite of a not so convincing training camp, decided to keep him in Montreal instead of sending him back to Europe for one more year, only to see the young Finnish player ending the season with 18 goals and being one of the Canadiens’ most dominant forwards in the playoffs against the Rangers, collecting two goals and four points in those six games.

The one sarcastically nicknames “Bargain-bin” also completed one of the most important and gutsy trade in Canadiens’ history when he sent P.K. Subban to Nashville for one of the league’s top shutdown defenseman in Shea Weber. How did that work out? Weber finished the season with 17 regular season’s goals, which is 11 more than Subban a year ago, while always playing against the opposition’s top line. He added three more points in the playoffs and beat Henrik Lundqvist three times, but not the post unfortunately, which could have turned this series around. He was also a team best plus -1 during the playoffs.

Contentious issues

In their season’s end press conference, Bergevin and head coach Claude Julien acknowledged having met with every player earlier that day. Some players will be back, others likely won’t. The NHL expansion draft will play a role as the Canadiens must submit a list to the league of the players they wish to protect, and one player will be picked by the Las Vegas Golden Knights.

A few other player-personnel decisions will have to be taken by management prior to determining the next actions needing to be taken by Bergevin and his team.

Galchenyuk

Like his predecessor Michel Therrien, Claude Julien recognized that Alex Galchenyuk simply isn’t ready to play the position everyone wants him to play: number one centre.

“Ideally, we would love to have him play center. Ideally. But, I think he realizes the same thing we realize right now. As a centerman, it’s one of the toughest jobs there is because you’ve got to be all over the ice and you’ve got to be able to skate. You’ve got to be responsible. Right now, he’s not at that stage. He needs to work to get to that stage,” said Julien. “As we speak, we have to put a guy in a position where he’s going to help himself and he’s going to help the team. Right now, the No. 1 center job, he wasn’t ready for it. It would have hurt his development and it would have hurt us as a team.”

Bergevin was direct in his comments about the 23 year old, who had a very rough season to his standards.

“We had a good meeting with Alex this morning. He knows he has things to learn to become the kind of centerman he’d like to be and we’d like him to be. For now, for his short-term future, the best place for him to help the team is at the wing,” said Bergevin, who believes the 2016-17 season could prove beneficial for Galchenyuk in the long run. “He’s conscious of the deficiencies in his game. He’s ready to work. This year really opened his eyes…Hopefully, he took one step back this year to take two forward next year. That’s what we hope.”

As I predicted on the podcast of Hockey Sans Limites prior to the playoffs, I have a feeling that Galchenyuk will not be in the Canadiens’ line-up comes September. It will not be the type of trade to “get rid” of him, but rather a hockey trade, a big trade like the Subban-Weber trade of last summer. The Canadiens might have run out of patience with their young prospect, changing their mind on his potential.

Beaulieu

Another player who might have run out of favours in Montreal is Nathan Beaulieu. The 24 year old defenseman seems to be making more noise off the ice than he is on ice and that is something that this organisation has always frowned upon. While Bergevin won’t come out to say it out loud, it seems like Beaulieu might have played his last game in a Habs’ uniform if the team can get a good return for him.

“Nathan has a lot of potential, but at the end of the day, the player has to take responsibility for himself…Why is it that a player plays six good games, but then has trouble in the next 12. Is it a mental thing?” mentioned Bergevin. “Nathan is at a crossroads in his career. Are we throwing in the towel in his case? No, but time is a factor in his case.”

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Jakub Jerabek

And the recent signing of Czech defenseman Jakub Jerabek seems to pave the way out for Beaulieu and a trade is likely to happen prior to the expansion draft as the Canadiens would have to choose between he and Jordie Benn for the last spot on their protection list, behind Shea Weber and Jeff Petry (NTC).

On a side note, it was interesting to read on Canadiens.com that former Habs Jaroslav Spacek had something to do with Jerabek’s development and his decision to sign in Montreal.

Plekanec

With a couple of bad seasons under his belt and even with decent playoffs this year, there is little chance that the Canadiens will protect Tomas Plekanec for the expansion draft. But with one year left to his contract paying him $6 million, there is no guarantee that the Golden Knights will even entertain picking him up.

If they don’t, it is questionable to think that any team would want him in a trade unless the Canadiens are willing to keep some of his salary, which is aways a possibility. Still, with Galchenyuk unable to take the step as a centre, the team might be forced to keep Plekanec as they are already thin at that position to start with.

Gallagher’s hand

Those who know me know that I try to stay away from scoops but I will make an exception this one time. I was told, from a rock hard source, that Brendan Gallagher‘s hand is in really bad shape and that it is unlikely to get better… ever. This explains his lack of production this season as I am told that he can’t shoot the puck like he used to.

As we have seen in the first round against the Rangers, he can still be effective by playing his in-your-face type of hockey but to expect him to return to being a 20-25 goals scorer might be a bit farfetched. I think that his job is safe for next year but I have been wrong before… just ask my wife.

 

This summer promises to be just as interesting as last year for the Canadiens and their fans and most people seem to agree that Bergevin is playing big with his decisions. Many have yet to digest the Subban trade and have a vendetta against Bergevin for that reason. If he was to trade Galchenyuk and Beaulieu and not improve the team, pitch forks and lanterns will be out in the witch hunt for the GM’s head, you can rest assured.

But as he has done most times, something tells me that Bergevin will come out the winner in improving the team, the same way he has done all but one season so far at the helm of the most storied franchise in the NHL. Go Habs Go!